John Galt Solutions’ Senior Business Consultant, Ruth Abbott, emphasizes the importance of scenario planning in supply chain management, stating that it helps organizations regain control amidst uncertainty. Ruth explains how scenario planning allows companies to test different outcomes and make informed decisions based on potential disruptions. This approach is becoming increasingly vital as businesses navigate complex supply chain challenges.
The Atlas Planning Platform from John Galt Solutions models the end-to-end supply chain to explore in advance the effects of potential events and business changes. Scenario modeling in Atlas helps supply chain teams manage long-term risks while also supporting near-term decision-making, especially when combined with root cause analysis and visibility tools. This enables supply chains to remain alert, agile, and well-prepared.
Atlas’ AI-powered scenario planning enables you to:
- Model real‑world drivers: Instantly visualize how changes to distribution networks, compressed product life cycles, volatile lead times, macro‑economic swings, and shifting customer‑service expectations ripple through the plan.
- Run multiple “what‑if” experiments: Adjust any parameter (demand spikes, inventory shortages, transport delays, unplanned shutdowns, capacity limits, promotions, etc.) and generate parallel plans in minutes.
- Compare outcomes side‑by‑side: View key metrics (service level, inventory turns, cost‑to‑serve, profit impact, etc.) for each scenario to see which assumptions matter most.
- Quantify trade‑offs: Test alternative strategies and quickly pinpoint the optimal balance between inventory carrying cost, supply‑chain resiliency, service‑level targets, and overall profitability.
- Real‑time risk & opportunity alerts: Receive automated “heads‑up” notifications when scenario analysis detects emerging threats (e.g., a looming transportation bottleneck) or early‑stage opportunities (e.g., a demand surge).
Explore the principles and key benefits of advanced scenario planning in our white paper: Not All Supply Chain Scenarios Are Created Equal
- Full Transcript
Ruth Abbott: We can't talk about disruption and uncertainty without talking about scenario planning, because I think this is becoming more and more part of best practice planning.
Scenario planning is a really helpful tool to actually give back a little bit of control. We can never predict the future, but with scenario planning, we can at least test out different things and, you know, understand, well, what if this happened? Or what should we do in this situation?
As companies move more from planning in ERP and Excel, where they haven't had this scenario capability, this is becoming a bigger requirement for them, so it's becoming more part of their best practice planning.
And when we think about scenarios, lots of people think about that more of the longer term – what if war breaks out? What if this happens in the longer term? But scenario planning is also really useful in the short term as well, so when we just experience something, having this ability to test out, should we go with option A, or should we go with option B? What is the right thing to do? And that can give planners confidence in making their decisions.
